"Even a minor incident could spark war."
- China naval commander, Admiral Wu Shengli
"The possibility of miscalculation or mistake is real."
- US Vice President Joe Biden
A cloud of war hangs over the South China Sea. China has been testing the resolve of the region to its limits. The focus is a sprawl of barren islands claimed by Beijing and many other governments. Until now, there have been military and diplomatic stand-offs.
Then, without notice, China launches a surprise attack on its historical enemy, Vietnam and lands troops on the disputed Paracel and Spratly island groups.
Suddenly, East Asia erupts. Western governments react and the world comes to the brink of war.
DRAGON STRIKE, THE MILLENIUM WAR is a factual thriller examining the global impact of a hostile China. Since publication it has become a substantive point of debate at the highest level of global policy making.
The authors know their stuff, and their timing is impeccable. Humphrey Hawksley of the BBC and Simon Holberton of the Financial Times, both old Asia hands, have constructed an ingenious thriller based on the premise that a resurgent China – soon to become the largest economy on earth – will clash with that other great Pacific Power, America. - Christopher Lockwood, Telegraph
In the end this perceptive book is really about what is now being called the China Problem. Is China on the verge of becoming the ham-fisted bully of Asia? And if so, what should - or can - the rest of the world do about it. The alternatives suggested in Dragon Strike are not appealing. - Barry Hillenbrand, Time
Dragon Strike is a cracking read by two fine journalists who know what they are talking about. Realistic and gripping, it goes to the heart of some of the most worrying issues with which the world will be grappling in the millennium. - Chris Patten, Chancellor, Oxford University, and last governor of Hong Kong
After the absolutism which the Cold War threatened, and the cataclysmic and cathartic wars which have erupted since, this return to the notion of calculation in war is strangely chilling. Dragon Strike's international and strategic insight is formidable. - Allan Mallinson, Spectator
The central theme comes through loud and clear: The United States has little idea why it is still in the Western Pacific (other perhaps than Korea). As events every year since 1992 have shown, it has no policy towards China's seawards expansionism, instead taking naïve comfort in the benefits of "engagement" with a China whose goals have been stated and are unlikely to be changed by smiling faces. Hawksley and Holberton may be too close for comfort. - Philip Bowring, International Herald Tribune
These are two experienced and highly respected journalists, who work for the BBC and Financial Times respectively. Their depiction of China under the post-Deng leadership as a threat to its neighbours and as willing to take risks in challenging western interests is graphic and, in its own terms, realistic. The (Dragon Strike) scenario contains many finely judged and ingenious episodes, not least of which tells how a Chinese military man manipulates the international financial markets to raise sufficient funds to underwrite the costs of the war. - Michael Yahuda, Financial Times
Too close to the bone to laugh away
THE THIRD WORLD WAR tells the story of four world leaders pitted against the raw power of failing states. A Russian president who needs to rein in his ambitious generals; an Indian prime minister experienced in the lethal consequences of the wrong decision; a Chinese president faced with competing forces within his country; and, in the White House, a man who tries to make peace with those who only want catastrophe.
Flashpoint One - Pakistan
Flashpoint Two - North Korea
The opening stages of the Third World War are more confusing and terrible than those in any war in history. A terror attack on the Indian parliament kills hundreds. Hours later a North Korean missile hits a US military base in Japan. As the next few days unfold, those once counted as allies become enemies, and the comfortable lives of citizens in modern societies verge of physical and emotional collapse.
Ultimately, four men pitted against each other because of events they fail to control.