The Struggle Over the South China Sea & the Strategy of Chinese Expansion
A vivid and highly readable guide to one of the great flash-points of the 21st century
Gideon Rachman, Chief Foreign Affairs Commentator, Financial Times
The first book to break down accessibly the politics and tensions among the countries of the Asia-Pacific, by a foreign correspondent who has witnessed it firsthand.
Best-selling BBC foreign correspondent Humphrey Hawksley has been covering Asia for decades during which he has witnessed China’s rise from being viewed as a murderous pariah dictatorship to a world power with such determination and wealth that we talk about the opportunities of trade and the risk of war in the same breath
China’s influence is now spread throughout the Asia-Pacific where great power interests collide amid the mistrust of unresolved conflicts and disputed territory. In the sphere of future global politics, no region will be as hotly contested.
The key flashpoint are clusters of remote reefs and islands from which China has created military bases enabling it to control a the expanse of the South China Sea, a crucial world trading route that it now claims as its own.
If China does get away with seizing and militarizing waters here, what will it do elsewhere in world and how far has it reached already. Bolstered by its South China Sea success, how are Beijing’s expansion plans impacting on India, Japan, Southeast Asia and even on Europe and America itself? Does it need to be restrained? If so, by how much. And if it is not, what will Russia, Iran or any government do when it sees that the international rule-book can so easily shredded and tossed aside.
No Asian country can take on China alone. Each is making its own arrangements with China or seeking protection from the United States. Most are doing both because America may be ill-equipped for the job at hand. Or could China be right when it argues that the US-led global system is tired, outdated and corrupt and needs to undergo massive reform or face extinction?
With its clear analysis and powerful story-telling, Asian Waters has already received high praise including from top-ranking government officials in Asia itself and from experts on both sides of the Atlantic.
International Endorsements for Asian Waters
Asian Waters deserves to be widely read and debated, all over the world.
Bill Emmott, author of The Fate of the West: The Battle to Save the World’s Most Successful Idea
A readable and very well-informed guide to an area of real tension in the early decades of this century.
Chris Patten, last governor of Hong Kong, Chancellor of Oxford University
With his solid, on-the-ground experience and incisive analysis derived from decades of first rate reportage, Humphrey Hawksley provides new ways of seeing and understanding the shifting balance of world power, a change of monumental significance for this century. Asian Waters seamlessly connects geography, history and great power intrigue across the entire Indo-Pacific region, increasingly the fulcrum of world history. His conclusions are surprising and often disturbing, but always based on the evidence. This book is a must-read.
James Clad, Director, Asian Security Programs at the American Foreign Policy Council, Former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for Asia Pacific Security Affairs
Humphrey Hawksley has long and rich experience of life in Asia, and has used this to inform this lucid, lively account of the frontier of Chinese aspirations – the region in which it sits. It is here that the true face of Chinese power is being revealed – the waters of Asia. There are fewer better guides to this than Mr Hawksley.
Kerry Brown, Director Lau China Institute, Kings College, London and author of China’s World: What Does China Want? & CEO, China: The Rise of Xi Jinping
Great power politics will define Asia’s future path. But in order to see what may lie ahead, it is critical to understand the people, the personalities, and the psychologies that drive the decision-making processes. Hawksley’s ability to do just that is second to none.
Shihoko Goto, North East Asia Program, Wilson Center
Hawksley masterfully pulls back the layers of history, old maps, and national pride that form the backdrop to one of Asia’s most dangerous flash points, the South China Sea. He argues convincingly that these disputed waters have become a litmus test of how far a rising China can push the boundaries of international law and still get away with it. Hawksley concludes with insightful suggestions about how China and the United States might learn to live together and what the disastrous stakes are for the globe if they clash.
Murray Hiebert, South East Asia Program. Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Asian Waters plays a critical role in defining India’s importance in the evolving geo-strategic matrix. The author is an old India hand and Asian Waters contains a wealth of knowledge, skilfully portrayed in his thoughtful book. To understand the new Indo-Pacific region, Asian Waters is a must read.
Major General Ashok K Mehta, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, India
Asian Waters is a timely, detailed and balanced examination of one of the crucial geo-political fault-lines of the twenty-first century. Its insights and analysis accurately map the complexity of the situation in the Asia-Pacific region, the choices open to policy-makers and a range of outcomes that could lead to cooperation, confrontation or conflict.
Admiral Chris Parry CBE, (Rtd.), author Super Highway: Sea Power in the 21st Century
Praise from Asia
Hawksley’s Asian Waters breathes life into the well-worn subject of the South China Sea by painting a vivid and comprehensive picture of Asia’s maritime security. Asian Waters explores the perspectives of the key actors in the region, rendering a fuller understanding of the complex and multi-faceted security dilemmas in Asia. It is truly an impressive piece of work that is sure to inspire and engage readers.
David Y L Lin, Representative, Taipei Representative Office in the UK, foreign minister 2012-2016
Humphrey’s writing style is accessible even when his subject grows more complex, ranging from geographic diversity to narration about history and politics. This book is a helpful primer to better understand the tools available to those formulating the South China Sea policy. Whether it is navigating on the political waves in East Asia, or exploring the great power status, the book offers a generous insight. Humphrey is a respected analyst, and he doesn’t disappoint here.
Dr Wu Shicun, President of National Institute for South China Sea Studies
Humphrey Hawksley focuses his immense skills at forensic political analysis to dissect 21st century Asia’s latest trouble spot. A fascinating read.
Hardeep Puri, Indian Minister for Housing and Urban Affairs, former Indian ambassador to the United Nations.