Taiwan has spoken. President Tsai Ing-wen’s resounding victory on a manifesto to retain distance from Beijing raises an unthinkable prospect for Beijing. Will we now see governments switching their diplomatic recognition from China to Taiwan? If so, which will start the ball rolling? In a sweepstake at an election gathering seven names came up – Czech Republic; East Timor; Niger; Samoa; Solomon Islands and Vanuatu, which is my pick. Czech Republic is particularly interesting because last month, in an open challenge to the ‘one China policy’, Prague switched its sister twinning from Beijing to Taipei. Any other picks most welcome.