Several authoritarian regimes may soon undergo dangerously rapid change. Burma, North Korea, Zimbabwe and Cuba immediately come to mind. Too frequently, Western leaders have reacted to dictatorial collapse with a triumphalism that is more about them than the people they claim to be campaigning for. Both Yugoslavia and Iraq are examples of change handled badly. The cultures of each are poles apart and their authoritarian regimes were dismantled in totally different ways. But both have experienced the equal horrors of tribalism, grasp for territory and motive for revenge resulting in hundreds of thousands killed, wounded and ethnically cleansed. If there’s anyone out there who knows how best to manage change in dictatorial regimes, please let me know because, so far, instant elections and an IMF text book have failed to do the business.