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Archive for 2008


Private company to track all e-mails and phone calls
12 31st, 2008

The British government is thinking of keeping track of everyone’s phone calls, e-mails texts and internet use and using a private company to do it.  Critics say it is paranoid  attempt to create a world of total security.

Security Breach –  KAT POLINSKI & Murder in a World of Total Surveillance 




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Why Do We Fight.
12 29th, 2008

After five years of war, the Iraqis have probably decided they don’t want to fight each other. After three years of war, the Bosnians, Serbs and Croats preferred a flawed peace to continuing bloodshed. But after more than fifty years, the Israelis and Palestinians still opt for conflict. What then is the difference in mindset between them and those who chose to stop fighting? 

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Pakistan-India
12 26th, 2008

One month after the Mumbai killings, the terror groups, it seems, are achieving some of their aims. Tension between India and Pakistan is high. Pakistan is moving troops away from its western border with Afghanistan, where they are deployed to fight Taliban and Al Qaeda insurgents. A similar scenario followed the 2001 attacks on the Indian parliament which brought the two countries close to all-out war. The Mumbai attacks were odious, but there must be a public safety mechanism that stops such incidents jump-starting India and Pakistan towards a nuclear war. Just back-off both of you, because with tension also rising between North and South Korea, we’re heading for a the scenario that begins my novel, The Third World War. 

   

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Great New Year
12 22nd, 2008

Best wishes to all who drop by this blog. Despite the demands for Breaking News crises from 24-hour-news channels, the world is in pretty good shape — far better than half or quarter of a century ago. Iraq was meant to collapse into civil war and partition. It didn’t. The summer was full of talk about a new Cold War, but no-one seemed to want it. In the economic downturn, China’s proved to be not a strategic threat but a global ally.  And the dreadful famines and diseases that used to kill millions seem to be no more. 

All the more reason to spend the New Year season with great thrillers  The Third World War, for fictional analysis of how disaster could strike and Security Breach for a sassy kick-ass heroine, Kat Polinski, who’ll keep you curled up on the edge of your seat late into the night.

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Shoes
12 16th, 2008

Shortly before the Bush shoe throwing, I tested what Iraqi’s thought of him. It was utter and personal revulsion, reflecting the views of the shoe thrower Muntadar al-Zaidi.  But fascinatingly, their views of Americans as a whole were completely positive. 

 And two ironies, if he had hurled his shoes at Saddam, al-Zaidi would have been on death row by now. The rallies hailing him as a hero were organised, it seems, by the cleric Moqtada al-Sadr who voice has only been allowed by the US invasion of Iraq. 

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Iraq — Think Taiwan, not Vietnam
12 11th, 2008

My latest thoughts from Iraq  h

http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/display.article?id=11715

Iraq has stood strong against three outside ideological forces that attempt to sway its future: the brutal violence of Al Qaeda, the rigid inflexibility Iran-inspired and aided Shia conservatives, as well as the US neoconservative vision that anticipated an instant switch to democracy and privatization, explains BBC correspondent Humphrey Hawksley. With the approval of a US-Iraq bilateral deadline for US troop withdrawal, known as the Security Pact, the prospect of Iraq being partitioned among intransigent groups or collapsing has vanished. “Success will be determined by how much Iraqis’ own loyalty shifts from tribal and religious consideration to national interest,” writes Humphrey, though hints of the shift have emerged. The US has a track record in guiding chaotic states toward vibrant democracies in Taiwan and South Korea, and can do so again, although the challenges are greater considering round-the-clock news coverage as well as the many complications associated with the Middle East. Hawksley concludes that a stable Iraq requires US focus, patience and resources, perhaps for three decades to come. – YaleGlobal

http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/display.article?id=11715

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The Interpreter’s Story
12 6th, 2008

Zeeman is a strapping young man, broad shouldered with a maturity and authority far beyond his age of only 21. He is veteran of

Iraq’s violence, and something that happened when he just started and the war was at its height presented him with a conundrum about his future that remains unresolved until now.  

Zeeman is an interpreter working for American troops. Day after day, he plays a crucial role in bridging the language and culture gaps between young, often nervous Americans inter-acting with often bruised and frightened Iraqis – whether its calming fears, picking up tit-bits of intelligence or going on a raid.   

Four years ago and just turned seventeen, Zeeman was still a schoolboy hoping to take exams – and a part-time interpreter. “I was working at an American checkpoint,” he said, “That was back in the days when interpreters wore civilian clothing. When I turned up for school after that, the head teacher expelled me, because he’d been through the check-point and had recognised me. He said I couldn’t come back because I was a traitor.”   

Zeeman is not his real name. He asked that I didn’t film his face at all. Nor did he want me to describe what he actually looked like. I first met him a year ago in the once-affluent neighbourhood of Gazalia that had been brutalised by Al Qaeda-inspired insurgents until US troops took it back and began a hearts and minds campaign to win over Iraqi trust.   

Zeeman had been a key element of the small company that set up base in a villa there. “You need to do more than just translate language,” he said. “You need to show exactly the mood and feelings of the two sides you’re translating for. You need to act out what is going on.”  

I caught up with him again in what used to be an upmarket shopping mall and is now the base for the Four-Ten Cavalry Regiment that handles a vast area of

Western Baghdad with Zeeman and about 30 other interpreters.   

Two things have happened in recent weeks that worry Zeeman deeply. First the Pentagon ruled that Iraqi interpreters could no longer wear masks to protect their identity – the point being that if the security situation has improved the civilian population shouldn’t  have to talk through someone in a black ski-mask.  

It caused outrage that created fault-lines of mistrust, and prompted a Congressional petition to get the ruling overturned.   

“It’s been rescinded to an operational level,” said the base commander Colonel Monty Willoughby. “It would have been tough to get where we are today without our  interpreters. We know they get scared and we protect their identity as much as possible.”  

Zeeman had actually stopped wearing a mask, but he wanted it to be his decision not that of someone in Washington who knew nothing about conditions on the ground.  

“I am married and I have a family,” he said in his bunk room at the base. “We have to remember that these forces are leaving one day and we are staying here. If these people from the checkpoints see the same faces as they’ve seen working with the Americans….” He trailed off with a shrug, and his room-mate finished the thought for him. “If anyone of my neighbourhood sees me in this uniform, I will get killed. May-be they will kill all my family. So that’s the issue.”  

The second development was the agreement between

Iraq and the

US
that all American troops would be withdrawn from the country within the next three years. Zeeman’s fear in a way reflects a general apprehension in

Iraq
, that excitement of getting back national sovereignty against losing the protection given by the

US
forces.
 

While the violence is down, the insurgency is far from defeated, and Zeeman believes he’s worked in so many places against so many different insurgents whose memories are long and vengeful. 

Then, when we headed out on a patrol, he was overtaken by his enthusiasm for the job. He apologised to two women who were stopped from walking down a road  when it was blocked by our Humvees. He introduced his lieutenant to the Iraqi army at a checkpoint; He liaised with  Iraqi police while we searched scrubland for weapons.   

“I’m helping both countries,

Iraq and the

US
,” he said, treading his way through a layer of garbage where the weapons might be hidden. “I’m proud of what I’m doing I know I’m doing the right thing.”
 

And the future?  

He looked up sharply, but not to answer me. “Sergeant,” he shouted. “Two storey building up there. Unidentified male on the roof.”  

A Humvee machine gun spun round while the patrol checked it was safe. Zeeman took out a cigarette from his tunic pocket. He was about to light it, when he paused, remembering my question. “The future. Yeah. You know, I haven’t even finished high school yet. So that’s what I want to do — finish my education. But in

America. Because it won’t be safe for me here in

Iraq
.” 
 

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Iraqi interpreters
12 3rd, 2008

Hopefully, the war is ending – and now it’s about reconciliation. But ever since the invasion – on just about every American patrol – bad times or good – there’s been an Iraqi interpreter. But today when we filmed they didn’t want us to show their faces. They are terrified what might happen to when the US forces leave and if war breaks out again. They live in fear or retaliation.

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US troop withdrawal from Iraq
11 27th, 2008

At present I’m in Baghdad. The agreement to withdraw US troops from Iraq by the end 2011, and severely curtail their powers from the beginning of next year, is hugely symbolic for the Iraqi government. Instead of the US forces being here under a United Nations mandate, they are deployed under a bi-lateral agreement between two sovereign powers. The last minute negotiations that delayed the  vote for a day also symbolised that Iraq is becoming a working democracy with issues being decided by elected parliamentarians and not by gunmen on the streets.

The first months of next year, then, will be the beginning of a test run as to ho much the US forces can hold back and how much the newly-trained Iraqi forces can take over the job of stabilising Iraq and ending the violence.  Large swathes of the country have already been handed over to Iraqi control, although the US continues to provide crucial intelligence and logistics support, and in many cases special forces teams are embedded with the Iraqi troops as advisers and mentors. But their presence is almost invisible.

Although violence has dropped, the war here is far from over.

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China Security Breach
11 22nd, 2008

The US Congress has warned that China  is aggressively developing its power to wage cyber warfare and is now in a position to delay or disrupt the deployment of America’s military forces around the world, potentially giving it the upper hand in any conflict. China now has both the intent and capability to launch cyber attacks “anywhere in the world at any time”. In 2007, it says, about 5m computers in the US were the targets of 43,880 incidents of malicious activity — a rise of almost a third on the previous year.

Kat Polinksi is about the best cyber agent the US has — but even she finds it tough when she comes against China. 

Security Breach —     

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